Weather and climate change

Headline:

Rain easing in the north.

This Evening and Tonight:

Some rain the northern and central parts, mostly light with the odd heavier outbreak in southern Scotland. Drier elsewhere with some evening snshine towards southern England. A generally mild night for most.

Friday:

Cloudy start for many with some light rain towards the north. Turning showery with some being heavy in northern England and southern Scotland. Sunnier spells in the south, where warm.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Drier and brighter conditions becoming more widespread into Saturday but showers or longer spells on rain developing once more on Sunday and Monday, most frequent in the east on Monday..

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 May 2024

For the rest of the week the south, especially the southeast looks as though it more favoured to see more in the way of dry weather, although even some rain or showers are likely from time to time. Areas of low pressure are more likely to track to the northwest of the UK so here it will likely continue unsettled with showers and some longer spells of rain which could be heavy at times. The northwest may also see some periods of strong winds. Temperatures are likely to reflect this, remaining close to or perhaps a little on the cool side across the northwest, whereas the south is likely to be a little warmer than average.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 May 2024

The signal for any meaningful high (or low) pressure regime to become established remains elusive, which suggests that the weather could remain fairly changeable through June, with variations on what this will look like across the country. Signals for both temperature and rainfall indicate a 'more-likely above average' overall. This suggests that further rain or showers are likely, possibly heavy or thundery at times. As is normal for the time of year there is likely to be some spells of warm sunshine between these showers.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Thu 23 May 2024