Posted on Saturday 8th June Afternoon.

Moist 700 mb trough (east -west)to propagate north with cyclonic circulations seen developing on the poleward edge of monsoon current. Monsoon to strengthen in South Maharastra in the next 48 hrs. 

Chart by Shreyas

Chart by Gokul

Widespread heavy rains expected over western Maharashtra.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mumbai: Mumbai Region got a repeat of Pre Monsoon Showers on Saturday Morning.

Rainfall in Mumbai expected to increase from Saturday Night. Sunday will see showers increasing with good rains on Monday /Tuesday as the Monsoon sets in properly. (40-60 mms/Day expected).

Day temperatures to ease by 2/3c.

This is a moderate beginning of the Monsoon..NO ALERT.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Meanwhile....Monsoon advances into Coastal Karnataka, Interior Karnataka with super heavy rains !

Resulting Rainfall today👇

UTTARAKANNADA District

-----------------------------------

KUMTA - 360.7 mm

HANEHALLI (KUMTA) - 252.5 mm

HALDIPUR (HONNAVAR ) - 248.5 mm

HEGDE (KUMTA)- 243 mm

KADATOKA (HONNAVAR) - 238.5 mm

BOBRAWADA (ANKOLA) - 237.5 mm

KARKI (HONNAVAR) - 234.5 mm

KALBHAG (KUMTA) - 233 mm

DEVAGIRI (KUMTA) - 225.5 mm

BELAMBAR (ANKOLA) - 222 mm

AGRAGONA (ANKOLA) - 218 mm

VANDIGE (ANKOLA) -217 mm

TORKE (KUMTA) - 215 mm

SAGADAGERI (ANKOLA ) - 204.5 mm

GOKARNA (KUMTA) - 202 mm

ANKOLA - 200 mm

BLALE (ANKOLA) - 195.5 mm

SHETAGERI (ANKOLA) - 190 mm

HOSAKULI (HONNAVAR ) - 186.5 mm

HIREGUTTI (KUMTA) - 186 mm

CHANDAVAR (HONNAVAR ) - 183 mm

MAJALI (KARWAR) - 181 mm

KADLE (HONNAVAR) - 179.5 mm

DEEVGI (KUMTA) - 177.5 mm

ALAGERI (ANKOLA) - 171 mm

SALKOD (HONNAVAR ) - 166.5 mm

BHAVIKERI (ANKOLA) - 159 mm

MUGWA (HONNAVAR ) -  153.5 mm

KADAWADA (KARWAR) - 152 mm

MOGATA (ANKOLA) - 150 mm

UDUPI DISTRICT

--------------------

PADUVARI (KUNDAPUR) 155.5 mm

KERGALU (KUNDAPUR) 130.5 mm

GOLIHOLE (KUNDAPUR) 110 mm

SHIRUR (KUNDAPUR) 105 mm

KALTHODU (KUNDAPUR) 104 mm

UPPUNDA (KUNDAPUR) 93.5 mm

KAMBADKONE (KUNDAPUR) 89 mm

HAKLADI (KUNDAPUR) 85.5 mm

BIJUR (KUNDAPUR) 83.5 mm

MARAVANTHE (KUNDAPUR) 81.5 mm

HEMMADI (KUNDAPUR) 81 mm

CHITTURU (KUNDAPUR) 78.5 mm

KIRIMANJESHAWARA (KUNDAPUR) 77.5 mm

VADDARSE (UDUPI) 76 mm

GANGOLLI (KUNDAPUR) 75 mm

AJRI (KUNDAPUR) 74 mm

MOLAHALLI (KUNDAPUR) 73 mm

INNA (KARKALA) 72.5 mm

AGUMBE - 42 mm

Compiled by Naveen Reddy

Data Credits: KSNDMC

5th June Post

Mumbai:

Several parts of Mumbai got Pre Monsoon Showers on Wednesday..👇

Pre Monsoon Thunder showers expected till the Monsoon sets in around 11th June.

Rain frequency increasing after 10th/11th. Monday/Tuesday.

Pune: Late afternoon Thundershowers. Some showers will be heavy, specially on the weekend.

Monsoon Watch---

Typical Monsoon Advance Signature ( Over Kerala) seen in today Morning's Satellite Image

T.N. Rainfall today:

Nedungal,, Krishnagiri 125mm

Adirampatnam, Tanjore 74mm

Chennai north suburbs

Redhills 63mm

Ponneri 56mm

Chennai City 22.3 mm

Chennai AP 20.6 mm

 (Chennai got westerlies rain...west to east moving)

South-West Monsoon shows proper advance into Kerala & T.N...Limit given in Image👇

Kerala Rains:

Strengthening low level monsoon circulation with embedded UAC in 700 mb, Monsoon trough expected to evolve in the next 3-4 days and thereby bringing in monsoon upto Konkan.

Continuing with our estimate, Monsoon to reach parts of Western Maharashtra & Konkan (including Mumbai and Pune) between 10 and 12th June 2024.

True to our estimate Monsoon expected to move into Coastal Karnataka, S.I. Karnataka and Goa in the next 24/48 hrs ( by 7th June).

Goa: Regular thundershowers, increasing frequency from 7th. Can see around 50-70 mms/day on 7th/8th.

Mumbai:

Mumbai Santa Cruz saw, a record 18 Nights ( 18th May - 4th June ) of Minimum temperatures of 29c or more. A record streak as per Vagaries. It peaked on 3rd June , when the "Low" touched 30c.

Santa CRUZ all time record "Highest Minimum '' for June is 30.2*c on 10-06-2007. 2nd highest for June was 30.2c on 11-06-2014. 

*All time any month Highest minimum also 30.2c as on 31-05-2015 (May)the reading was same at 30.2c

Colaba Highest Minimum Record for June is also 30.2c on 10-06-2016

Bengaluru region was lashed by heavy thunderstorms yesterday. Vagaries had mentioned this in our earlier outlook on 31st May. 

Bengaluru city 111 mm ending 8:30 am today - this is the all time June record for 24 hrs rainfall, breaking the previous record of 101.6 mm on 16th June 1891!

Seasonal total for Bengaluru this year (till today) is 141 mm. 

June record highest is 228 mm in 1996.

We expect some thundershowers to continue for another 2-3 days in Bengaluru-Mysuru regions.

Mumbai region - Some moderate showers reported in Panvel, Kharghar and near Kalyan regions. 

Panvel got good rains of 24 mm.

 2nd June...

We want to change the Tune...Enough of "Heat" News😠!

Weather Forecast: UK to Face Unseasonal Cold Wave and Snowfall Prior to Summer’s Return

The U.K. situation is set to change dramatically with the arrival of a cold front.

Weather maps predict that Glasgow will experience snowfall on June 4, which is unusual for this time of year. Other areas are expected to experience rain showers.

This wintry weather will persist for two days

By Arezki AMIRI (EC Nostrum)

2nd June Night:

Monsoon Watch - 

The surface winds need another 24 hrs to establish:

The lower level Monsoon winds are taking a long time to set in over the Kerala region. 

The uppermost Jet Stream is properly established.

This being the precursor, we expect proper Monsoon setting in over Kerala by 4th June. Gradually strengthening from 6th.

South Karnataka Monsoon set by 6/7th June

Mumbai:

With a record streak of unrelenting high temperatures and humidity, the city awaits some relief.

Pre Monsoon thundershowers in late afternoon expected from 4th June. Not to be mistaken for Monsoon though.

Monsoon should set in by 11th June.

Pune: 

Pre Monsoon late afternoon thundershowers expected from 4th June. Monsoon should set in by 11th June.

Goa: Expect pre monsoon showers from 3rd June.. Fairly good, around 15-20 mms /day. Frequency increasing daily. Monsoon should set in by around 8th/9th June.

Sambhajinagar (Aurangabad): Pre Monsoon thundershowers expected from 4th June. Not to be mistaken for Monsoon.

Sowing should be not started before 14th June.as the seeds may not germinate with scattered pre monsoon rains.

Gujarat: Hot and Dry. No rains expected till 11th at least.

Bharuch Max on 2-06-2024: 38.2c

Min: 28.4c

Expect around 40c next week,

2nd June...

Mumbai Scruz apparently seems to have recorded " 29°c or more  " continously from 18th May - 2nd June...16 days without a break !!

Now, we write "apparently " as by no stretch of imagination it has ever happened.  Vagaries ( according to Vagaries records), its never happened for more than 4 days continously. 

Seems dubious...A request to recheck the instrument.